I wrote the following beforehand ⬇️ & cannot quite believe what just happened ........ a pitiful & shameful day for America & indeed The World
Humanity regresses back towards the primordial swamp
I'd clean up the spare room - you might have some Americans crossing the border on the run from The Fascist Death Squads .......
It is now TIME .....
Time to End The Cult of The Fascist Garbage Goblin
Tronald Dump has destroyed so much of America's substance with his Death Cult of Stupidity and
Lies
Divisiveness
Insurrection
Fraud
Corruption
Felonies
Indecency
Immorality
Derangement
Dementia
Standover Mob Tactics
Bullying
Threats
Nastiness
Fascism
Racism
Misogyny
Bigotry
Hatred & so much more ......
Kamala has provided ample Joy & Laughter & is the breathe of fresh air America badly needs from the stench of Dump/Adolf Shitler
Simple reasons why I think she wins comfortably :
1. Since 2020, we've suffered through Jan 6th & Dobbs decision overturning Roe v Wade - Both of which Dump is fully responsible for - making him a Repulsive Figure & his Vote Ceiling been around 46-47% repeatedly over last decade & there's no Earthly reason to think its improved !
2. The Women of America have had enough of this demented Abortion Ban Crap where Women are now dying, "whether they like it or not" ..... They Don't Mr Dump, they definitely don't ..... Early Voting shows Women voting at 54%, well above normal 51 of the Electorate - given Kamala is further in front with Women, than Dump is with Men, in virtually every Exit Poll, the Maths simply dictate a possible 4-5-6% win in Popular Vote & anything over 3 should pretty much seal The Electoral College
3. The Iowa Poll confirmed what other Polls have shown - that Kamala is doing well with Over 65s & White Women - again, this is just Pure Maths, White Women are the plurality of the Electorate at 34% & Old People reliably Vote - so if you look at it simply - IF Kamala wins Women, Blacks, Latinos & Old White Men, it is basically long OVER ........ Dump will win White Men 18-64 & that's it
So you say why are The Polls so close ? 2 Reasons, firstly, as in 2022, The RepubliCLOWNS have tried to flood the zone with Corrupt Polls to create a "narrative" that Dump can say "they stole The Election" off me & secondly because it is not Compulsory Voting, The Polls take no account of Turnout - they try to, but several hundred or thousand people in a Poll is not 170 Million - so The Polls only transmit "general info" about which ages, gender, groups are siding with who
The AVERAGE Polling error in "competitive states" in last 50 years is 3.4% & that number means Headline Poll Numbers often quite meaningless - digging through the weeds can reveal plenty IF patterns get repeated - there is No Doubt this Election has a MASSIVE Gender Gap & the simple logic is, IF Women turn up & vote overwhelmingly for Kamala, then they will win & put her in The Oval Office
4. Time & Again we have seen 5-10-15% of RepubliCLOWNS loudly saying they will not vote for Dump again - in the Primaries, v Nikki Haley, and also v Nobody !
Dump has lost support from the Centre & let's say he loses just 5% - that's close to 4 Million votes & in a Race that is anywhere close, that matters BIG style
5. The delicious & delightful irony of The Women of America putting Dump in Jail for Life is just too good an opportunity to pass up & me thinks they KNOW Dump is a Rapist, Serial Sexual Assaulter & Misogynist in Chief ........ THEY are coming for you Dump - Justice will be Now Be Served
In 2020 it was 81.3 Million to 74.2, so Joe by 7.1 Mill in popular vote at 51-47%
This time, I'd suggest roughly 87-78 Million, with approx breakdown of 51-46% - the basis for that is 170 Million votes, 71 Mill already & expect 100 more, where Women are at say 52.5%, so a 90-80 split, an extra 10 Mill Women, She wins Women 58-40% & loses Men 44-53% gets you to 87-78 Mill & at 51-46% she is like 99.999% certain to go past 270 & become Madam President
That could translate into roughly 309 - 229 in The Electoral College as she possibly wins 6 of the 7 Swing States, with Dump only winning Arizona ?
In my Maths, the only way she loses, is IF Dump wins Men, particularly young men, by far more than previously indicated, and/or if Latino Men backslide in Penn, Georgia & Nevada in numbers simply not expected - but ultimately she'd have to be pretty unlucky & would lose narrowly on The Electoral College - remember Dems have won Popular Vote in 7 of last 8 Presidential Elections ( 2004 Kerry lost to Bush ) from 1992-2020 & often by a lot & they should win this 1 comfortably too & IF she matches Joe's margin of 7.1 Million then Victory should be achieved
I wrote the following beforehand ⬇️ & cannot quite believe what just happened ........ a pitiful & shameful day for America & indeed The World
Humanity regresses back towards the primordial swamp
I'd clean up the spare room - you might have some Americans crossing the border on the run from The Fascist Death Squads .......
It is now TIME .....
Time to End The Cult of The Fascist Garbage Goblin
Tronald Dump has destroyed so much of America's substance with his Death Cult of Stupidity and
Lies
Divisiveness
Insurrection
Fraud
Corruption
Felonies
Indecency
Immorality
Derangement
Dementia
Standover Mob Tactics
Bullying
Threats
Nastiness
Fascism
Racism
Misogyny
Bigotry
Hatred & so much more ......
Kamala has provided ample Joy & Laughter & is the breathe of fresh air America badly needs from the stench of Dump/Adolf Shitler
Simple reasons why I think she wins comfortably :
1. Since 2020, we've suffered through Jan 6th & Dobbs decision overturning Roe v Wade - Both of which Dump is fully responsible for - making him a Repulsive Figure & his Vote Ceiling been around 46-47% repeatedly over last decade & there's no Earthly reason to think its improved !
2. The Women of America have had enough of this demented Abortion Ban Crap where Women are now dying, "whether they like it or not" ..... They Don't Mr Dump, they definitely don't ..... Early Voting shows Women voting at 54%, well above normal 51 of the Electorate - given Kamala is further in front with Women, than Dump is with Men, in virtually every Exit Poll, the Maths simply dictate a possible 4-5-6% win in Popular Vote & anything over 3 should pretty much seal The Electoral College
3. The Iowa Poll confirmed what other Polls have shown - that Kamala is doing well with Over 65s & White Women - again, this is just Pure Maths, White Women are the plurality of the Electorate at 34% & Old People reliably Vote - so if you look at it simply - IF Kamala wins Women, Blacks, Latinos & Old White Men, it is basically long OVER ........ Dump will win White Men 18-64 & that's it
So you say why are The Polls so close ? 2 Reasons, firstly, as in 2022, The RepubliCLOWNS have tried to flood the zone with Corrupt Polls to create a "narrative" that Dump can say "they stole The Election" off me & secondly because it is not Compulsory Voting, The Polls take no account of Turnout - they try to, but several hundred or thousand people in a Poll is not 170 Million - so The Polls only transmit "general info" about which ages, gender, groups are siding with who
The AVERAGE Polling error in "competitive states" in last 50 years is 3.4% & that number means Headline Poll Numbers often quite meaningless - digging through the weeds can reveal plenty IF patterns get repeated - there is No Doubt this Election has a MASSIVE Gender Gap & the simple logic is, IF Women turn up & vote overwhelmingly for Kamala, then they will win & put her in The Oval Office
4. Time & Again we have seen 5-10-15% of RepubliCLOWNS loudly saying they will not vote for Dump again - in the Primaries, v Nikki Haley, and also v Nobody !
Dump has lost support from the Centre & let's say he loses just 5% - that's close to 4 Million votes & in a Race that is anywhere close, that matters BIG style
5. The delicious & delightful irony of The Women of America putting Dump in Jail for Life is just too good an opportunity to pass up & me thinks they KNOW Dump is a Rapist, Serial Sexual Assaulter & Misogynist in Chief ........ THEY are coming for you Dump - Justice will be Now Be Served
In 2020 it was 81.3 Million to 74.2, so Joe by 7.1 Mill in popular vote at 51-47%
This time, I'd suggest roughly 87-78 Million, with approx breakdown of 51-46% - the basis for that is 170 Million votes, 71 Mill already & expect 100 more, where Women are at say 52.5%, so a 90-80 split, an extra 10 Mill Women, She wins Women 58-40% & loses Men 44-53% gets you to 87-78 Mill & at 51-46% she is like 99.999% certain to go past 270 & become Madam President
That could translate into roughly 309 - 229 in The Electoral College as she possibly wins 6 of the 7 Swing States, with Dump only winning Arizona ?
In my Maths, the only way she loses, is IF Dump wins Men, particularly young men, by far more than previously indicated, and/or if Latino Men backslide in Penn, Georgia & Nevada in numbers simply not expected - but ultimately she'd have to be pretty unlucky & would lose narrowly on The Electoral College - remember Dems have won Popular Vote in 7 of last 8 Presidential Elections ( 2004 Kerry lost to Bush ) from 1992-2020 & often by a lot & they should win this 1 comfortably too & IF she matches Joe's margin of 7.1 Million then Victory should be achieved
TIME ...... to send Dump to Jail for Life in 2025